4.
THE
PROCESS
Over the course of five days, the foresight
methodology applied at Resilience Frontiers 2019
led participants through a four-step process:
1.
Visualizing probable futures under the
impact of the fourth industrial revolution:
Working groups envisioned the evolution
and implications of emerging soft and hard
technologies, as well as new social trends powered
by a sustainability ethos, as drivers shaping our
future by 2030 in a climate-changed world.
2.
Envisioning desirable futures in a
climate-resilient world: Through
individual Moonshot exercises, working groups
visualized and discussed desirable futures in a
post-2030 climate-resilient world, which was
defined as meeting the basic needs of the world
population in a way that would strengthen
the resilience to climate change of individuals,
societies, economies and ecosystems. For that
purpose, working groups deep-dived into the
opportunities and
challenges arising
from the preceding
discussions on drivers of
change, insofar as they
relate to meeting the
basic needs of the world
population beyond 2030
in a climate-resilient way.
This step also included
numerous exercises
to disrupt general
assumptions and biases
about the future, in order to
be more creative in generating
‘visions of desirable futures in
a climate-resilient world’. Further, it opened up the
collective intelligence exploration so as to include
intellectual frameworks, institutional setups and
support systems in conceiving of new desirable
futures in a climate-resilient world.
3.
Reinventing the enabling environment for
transformative resilience: Through collective
Moonshot exercises, working groups visualized
transformed, reinvented or re-tooled intellectual
frameworks, institutional setups and support
systems which would constitute an optimal enabling
environment for climate-resilience, with a particular
focus on meeting basic needs.
4.
Refining visions, and formulating
underlying questions: Working groups refined
their visions and raised underlying questions that
would serve as a basis in the definition of cross-
cutting objectives and possible pathways to be
investigated through the roadmapping exercise.
a. A four-step process